China's economic growth will not greatly callback? - Business

Economic fundamentals and reliable

So, China's economic growth will not greatly callback?

LuZhongYuan judgment, China's economic fundamentals and the elements of the optimal combination is more reliable, but rising costs will lead to economic growth is slowing, gradually enhance the transformation must be new development momentum.

From China's economic development potential of the decision fundamentals to see, there are many advantages: from the demand for, industrialization, urbanization in rapid growth in housing, cars for hot consumer spending is active, upgrade lasts new regional poles constantly emerging, investment and consumption demand, market size and leeway very big; From speaking, long-term supply shortage of funds have become more bounteous, the total labor force huge advantage is likely to continue for some time.

To this, LuZhongYuan said: "with supply and demand two aspects of the great combination advantage, China can factor in international trade to get the comparative advantages of competition, this is China's long-term economic support favorable factors of the development of reliable, fundamentals. But we also see, higher labor costs, land price rise on resources and environment, use rise in the cost of aging population, constantly, it stands to obvious traditional low cost competitive advantage in weakening."

And that LuZhongYuan, from "1025" late start, China's economic growth potential of the reasonable interval may be less than 30 years before the narrow, keep stable and rapid economic growth, in addition to continue to make full use of the fundamentals of the favorable factors, still need to speed up the economic development mode change, enhanced technology progress, management innovation, improve the quality of workers more lasting growth momentum.

Macro control fundamental key won't change

At present, the development of the Chinese economy environment still have considerable uncertainty factors, inflation pressure increasing domestic oil, waste, frequent power failures, small miniature enterprise management environment tightens, local financial financial risks, such as the series began to show the risks and challenges to the outside world, pay more attention to the next step of macroeconomic control target and direction.

LuZhongYuan think, short-term macroeconomic regulation and control needs to continue to improve, but we think about fundamental key or stability is given priority to, temporarily don't need to change of direction.

LuZhongYuan further explained that, according to the analysis, our basic view is that China's economic growth next year will also small callback, than this year's growth rate will continue to slow, but still in the reasonable interval. So, are now facing the problem of economic growth, still in reasonable interval, and inflation has also control targets in the next year or so, the pressure of the rising general price than slow down this year, in this case, the macroeconomic regulation and control basic point to temporarily do not need to make a major adjustment, but also to strengthen pertinence and flexibility.

In the future, in the control inflation, monetary policy and fiscal policy to more ably together, because fiscal policy for low-income subsidy is the most direct, and guide structure adjustment is also the most direct, and monetary policy often more indirect effect, total tends to control. The rise in the cost control and the input sex inflation, I think should be more with the finance policy and monetary policy form more positive cooperation. The positive is not the meaning of the expansion, but with higher levels of

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